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This will be massive…

GTA 6 comes out November 19, and I think the launch is the smaller part of the money. GTA 5 sold $1 billion in three days, and then GTA Online kept bringing in money for the next 13 years.

Rockstar put out five main Grand Theft Auto games in twelve years, and the longest wait between them was about five years. GTA 6 took thirteen. In this one I go through the numbers that are public: what GTA 5 did at launch, what a 2016 lawsuit and this year’s leaked Rockstar data say GTA Online brought in through Shark Cards, and what Take-Two’s own filings say about where its money comes from now. Rockstar has not confirmed the leaked figures, and I say so every time they come up.

Then I go through what we know about GTA 6: the price, what Take-Two, Sony and Microsoft have said about pre-orders, what Take-Two is telling investors for this fiscal year, and the analyst forecasts. Nobody outside the company knows what the game cost, so I don’t try to tell you the profit.

Rockstar has not announced an online mode for GTA 6, and PlayStation’s page calls it a single-player experience. So the part about the next GTA Online is my prediction, and it’s labeled that way on screen. I also get into the physical edition, which is a download code in a box, and why I don’t think “no disc, no buy” slows this game down.

This is the first of a few GTA videos I’m planning. Let me know in the comments what you think this game does in its first year.

Chapters
00:00 How big GTA 6 is going to be
00:40 GTA 5: $1 billion in three days
01:32 13 years between games
02:19 What GTA Online changed
03:24 The leaked Shark Card numbers
04:07 What that money allowed
04:51 Take-Two’s own filings
05:34 GTA 6 price and pre-orders
06:22 First-year forecasts and what it cost
06:55 My prediction: the next GTA Online
08:02 No disc, no buy
09:10 Why I wouldn’t bet against it

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Sources are on screen in the video. Game footage: Rockstar Games. Music: “Vice City” by PremiumBeat, licensed through Envato.

#GTA6 #GTAOnline #RockstarGames #TakeTwo #EricJuly

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